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Registros recuperados: 33
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A BAYESIAN APPROACH TO OPTIMAL CROSS-HEDGING OF COTTONSEED PRODUCTS USING SOYBEAN COMPLEX FUTURES AgEcon
Rahman, Shaikh Mahfuzur; Dorfman, Jeffrey H.; Turner, Steven C..
Cottonseed crushers face substantial risk in terms of input and output price variability and they are limited in their planning by the lack of viable futures markets for cottonseed or cottonseed products. This study examines the feasibility of cross-hedging cottonseed products using soybean complex futures. Bayesian tests for market efficiency are performed on the cash and futures prices. The test results reject the presence of nonstationary roots, leading to the conclusion that the markets are not efficient. Different cross-hedging strategies are designed and analyzed for eight different hedging horizons in order to maximize the expected profit and utility of the crusher. A Bayesian approach is employed to estimate the parameters, which is consistent with...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Marketing.
Ano: 2002 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/19708
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A Bayesian Approach to Optimal Cross-Hedging of Cottonseed Products Using Soybean Complex Futures AgEcon
Rahman, Shaikh Mahfuzur; Dorfman, Jeffrey H.; Turner, Steven C..
Cottonseed crushers face substantial risk in terms of input and output price variability and they are limited in their planning by the lack of a viable futures contract for cottonseed or cottonseed products. This study examines the feasibility of cross-hedging cottonseed products using the soybean complex futures. Different cross-hedging strategies are evaluated for eight time horizons relative to the expected profit and utility of the crusher. A Bayesian approach is employed to estimate both model parameters and optimal hedge ratios, allowing consistency with expected utility maximization in the presence of estimation risk. The results reveal that both whole cottonseed and cottonseed products can be successfully cross-hedged using soybean complex futures....
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Bayesian decision science; Cottonseed; Cross-hedging; Risk management; Crop Production/Industries.
Ano: 2004 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/31114
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A COMMUNITY ECONOMICS PERSPECTIVE ON COASTAL EROSION MANAGEMENT AgEcon
Kriesel, Warren; Turner, Steven C..
A proposed beach improvement project at Jekyll Island, Ga. is opposed by county residents on tax equity grounds. In addition to general revenue financing, user fees for this type of infrastructure improvement are investigated. User fees are found to be both financially and politically feasible.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Resource /Energy Economics and Policy.
Ano: 2003 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/21970
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A LOCATIONAL ANALYSIS OF LANDSCAPE PLANT RETAIL OUTLETS IN GEORGIA AgEcon
McClellan, Chandler; Turner, Steven C.; Gunter, Lewell F.; Stegelin, Forrest E..
GIS is an emerging marketing tool. This study examines the Georgian landscape plant retail market using GIS in conjunction with other traditional market research tools. Spending and logistic regression propensity scores are analyzed for prevailing geographic patterns. This allows retailers to make store location decisions by identifying underserved markets.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Marketing.
Ano: 2004 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/34642
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A New Taxonomy of Thin Markets AgEcon
Anderson, John D.; Hudson, Darren; Harri, Ardian; Turner, Steven C..
The traditional conception of a thin market based on transactions volume remains relevant in many agricultural markets but does not adequately frame emerging thin market issues. As non-price means of pricing goods becomes more common, some cash commodity markets have become residual markets. In some of these markets, not only the volume of transactions but also the representativeness of transactions to those on the related contract market is an important issue. This paper develops a concept of thin markets that accounts for this dimension of market thinness and proposes a research agenda related to this topic.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Marketing.
Ano: 2007 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/34826
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A PORTFOLIO APPROACH TO LANDSCAPE PLANT PRODUCTION AND MARKETING AgEcon
Purcell, David L.; Turner, Steven C.; Houston, Jack E.; Hall, Charles R..
The ornamental horticultural industry continues to be one of the most rapidly expanding sectors in agriculture. This study examined a decision model for landscape plant production based on portfolio analysis. A quadratic programming model was developed to generate an optimal crop portfolio for a selected southeastern nursery. Empirical results indicate opportunities exist for modest diversification to offset income variability in landscape plant production and marketing.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Landscape plants; Quadratic programming; Portfolio analysis; Risk management; Crop Production/Industries; Demand and Price Analysis.
Ano: 1993 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/15039
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AN EMPIRICAL ANALYSIS OF A MARKETING ORDER REFERENDUM FOR A SPECIALTY CROP AgEcon
Mixon, Bobby; Turner, Steven C.; Centner, Terence J..
Specialty crop producers’ marketing problem, associated with lack of quality standards and advertising revenues, may detract from profitability. Although marketing orders, approved by producer referenda, offer a means to address these problems, institutional rules can make ratification difficult. In this study, economic structure was found to be more important than producer characteristics in explaining voter behavior in a Georgia Vidalia onions marketing order referendum.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Crop Production/Industries; Marketing.
Ano: 1990 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/32504
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BASIS RISK FOR RICE AgEcon
Lord, Yoshie Saito; Turner, Steven C..
The objective of this paper is to develop a cross hedging model for rice that minimizes basis risk and accounts for the existence of the nonstationary nature of basis. Basis is treated as an endogenous variable and model for basis risk are developed.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Financial Economics; Risk and Uncertainty.
Ano: 1998 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/20886
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CROSS-HEDGING COTTONSEED MEAL AgEcon
Rahman, Shaikh Mahfuzur; Turner, Steven C.; Costa, Ecio de Farias.
This study examines the feasibility of cross-hedging cottonseed meal with soybean meal futures. A simple linear regression of cottonseed meal cash prices on soybean meal futures provides a direct price movement relationship. Using the estimated hedge ratios, the net realized prices are calculated for seven different cash markets. The net realized prices are higher than cash prices in three of the four years evaluated. The empirical analyses suggest soybean meal futures can be used as a potential cross-hedging vehicle for cash cottonseed meal.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Cottonseed meal; Cross-hedging; Hedging ratios; Soybean meal; Marketing.
Ano: 2001 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/14691
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CROSS-HEDGING COTTONSEED MEAL AgEcon
Rahman, Shaikh Mahfuzur; Turner, Steven C.; Costa, Ecio de Farias.
This study examines the feasibility of cross-hedging cottonseed meal with soybean meal futures. The simple linear regression of cottonseed meal cash prices on soybean meal futures provides a direct price movement relationship. Using the estimated hedge-ratios, the net realized prices are calculated for seven different cash markets. The net realized prices exhibit risk efficiency superior to cash pricing. The empirical analyses suggest that soybean meal futures can be used as a potential cross-hedging vehicle for cottonseed meal.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Marketing.
Ano: 2000 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/21769
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CROSS-HEDGING COTTONSEED MEAL AgEcon
Rahman, Shaikh Mahfuzur; Turner, Steven C.; Costa, Ecio de Farias.
This study examines the feasibility of cross-hedging cottonseed meal with soybean meal futures. The Bayesian tests for market efficiency on the cash and futures price data soundly rejects the presence of nonstationary root. The simple linear regression of cottonseed meal cash prices on soybean meal futures provides a direct price movement relationship. Using the estimated hedge-ratios, the net realized prices are calculated for seven different cash markets. The net realized prices exhibit risk efficiency superior to cash pricing. The empirical analyses suggest that soybean meal futures can be used as a potential cross-hedging vehicle for cottonseed meal.
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Marketing.
Ano: 2000 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/16707
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Effects of the Farm Financial Crisis on the Profitability of Agribusiness Firms AgEcon
Wise, James O.; Turner, Steven C..
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Agribusiness; Financial Economics.
Ano: 1992 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/62325
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EXPERIMENTAL EXAMINATION OF A THIN MARKET: PRICE BEHAVIOR IN A DECLINING TERMINAL MARKET REVISITED AgEcon
Nelson, Robert G.; Turner, Steven C..
Perceived characteristics of thin markets are described and approaches to furthering their study are suggested. Design features of a laboratory thin market, patterned after a typical livestock marketing situation, are described. Price bias and variation from a "thick" private negotiation market with 22 traders is compared to that from a "thin" auction market with 8 traders. No systematic price bias was found in any of the markets. Price variation was actually lower in the thin auction market.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Auction; Experimental economics; Price discovery; Thin market; Marketing.
Ano: 1995 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/15328
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FEEDER CATTLE PRICE DIFFERENTIALS IN GEORGIA TELEAUCTIONS AgEcon
Turner, Steven C.; Dykes, Nancy S.; McKissick, John C..
Three Georgia feeder cattle teleauction markets were analyzed from 1977 to 1988 to estimate the impacts of cattle characteristics and market conditions on prices. Cattle characteristic price impacts were similar to those in previous studies. The impact of feeder cattle futures price on teleauction price was positive but varied across markets. Optimal lot size ranged from 143 to 276 head. In one market, 14 lots were necessary to generate positive price impacts. Additional buyers were estimated to have a $.30/cwt per buyer impact on price.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Demand and Price Analysis.
Ano: 1991 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/30047
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Identifying Target Markets for Landscape Plant Retail Outlets AgEcon
McClellan, Chandler; Turner, Steven C.; Gunter, Lewell F.; Stegelin, Forrest E..
Landscape plant retailers must identify target markets to maximize marketing effectiveness. A tobit process is used on a system of three equations with fourteen years of data identifies target markets for different retail outlets. Results, compared with a previous study, show effects of time on target markets.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Crop Production/Industries.
Ano: 2003 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/21914
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LEADING INDICATORS FOR REGIONAL COTTON RESPONSE: STRUCTURAL AND TIME SERIES MODELING RESULTS AgEcon
Stavriotis, Paul A.; Houston, Jack E.; McIntosh, Christopher S.; Turner, Steven C..
Resurging southeastern cotton production compels better cotton acreage forecasts for planning seed, chemical, and other input requirements. Structural models describe leading acreage response indicators, and forecasts are compared time-series models. Cotton price, loan rate, deficiency payments, lagged corn acreage, the PIK program, and previous cotton yield significantly influence response.
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Crop Production/Industries.
Ano: 1998 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/16717
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LEADING INDICATORS OF REGIONAL COTTON ACREAGE RESPONSE: STRUCTURAL AND TIME SERIES MODELING RESULTS AgEcon
Houston, Jack E.; McIntosh, Christopher S.; Stavriotis, Paul A.; Turner, Steven C..
Resurgent cotton production compels better acreage forecasts for planning seed, chemical, and other input requirements. Structural models describe leading acreage response indicators, and forecasts are compared to time-series models. Cotton price, loan rate, deficiency payments, lagged corn acreage, the PIK program, and previous cotton yield significantly influence cotton acreage response.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Resurgent cotton production; Cotton acreage; Crop Production/Industries.
Ano: 1999 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/15147
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Lessons Learned in Over 31 Years in Agricultural Economics AgEcon
Turner, Steven C..
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Teaching/Communication/Extension/Profession.
Ano: 2011 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/113548
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MANAGING PRICE RISK IN COTTON PRODUCTION USING STRATEGIC ROLLOVER HEDGING AgEcon
Turner, Steven C.; Heboyan, Vahe.
Research on rollover hedging for agricultural commodities has focused on the consequences of using existing contracts to substitute for missing long-term contracts. It appears that some grains are candidates for rollover hedging while livestock is not. Cotton was analyzed to evaluate the effectiveness of rollover hedging from 1982 to 1999. This paper demonstrates that strategic rollover hedging can be used as a substitute for missing long-term futures market and increase expected returns in cotton production. The estimated results reported average returns of 62.22, 65.36, 75.80, 79.09, and 69.14 cents per pound for cash sale, single-year hedge, 5, 2.5, and 1% three-year strategic rollover hedging strategies, respectively. Thus, it appears returns for...
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Crop Production/Industries; Marketing; Risk and Uncertainty.
Ano: 2001 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/16708
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MARKETING OF COTTON FIBER IN THE PRESENCE OF YIELD AND PRICE RISK AgEcon
Wojciechowski, Jan; Ames, Glenn C.W.; Turner, Steven C.; Miller, Bill R..
An expected-utility model and a chance-constrained linear programming model were used to analyze four marketing strategies and seven crop insurance alternatives for cotton marketing in Georgia. The results suggest that existing marketing tools and insurance alternatives can be used to reduce cotton producers' revenue risk. The optimal level of yield and price insurance coverage depends on an individual producer's risk aversion.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Crop insurance; Marketing strategies; Risk aversion; Marketing.
Ano: 2000 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/15315
Registros recuperados: 33
Primeira ... 12 ... Última
 

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